Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Egyptian Revolution: a Demographic Structural Analysis




Excellent scientific analysis highlighting the events of the 2011 Egyptian Revolution.  While various mass­ media tried to explain what had caused the riots, most explanations followed the same pattern, blaming:

  • economic stagnation,
  • poverty,
  • inequality,
  • corruption, and
  • unemployment.


A typical  explanation  is that  “Egyptians  have the same complaints that  drove Tunisians  onto the  streets:  surging  food  prices,  poverty,  unemployment  and authoritarian rule that smothers public protests quickly and often brutally”.

Such unanimity incited Andrey V. Korotayev and Julia V. Zinkina to investigate to what extent those accusations reflected the Egyptian reality.

So they decided to take each of the above mentioned “revolution causes” and to look into the actual dynamics of the relevant socioeconomic indicators in the years preceding the Egyptian revolution.

Below is the link to their numbers-never-lie study: